Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:00 • Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.67) 1.40 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 24.1% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chainat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mahasarakham United 0 4.9% 6.9% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.9% 11.1% 7.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMahasarakham UnitedChainat
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack50%83%
Defense58%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mahasarakham United Chainat
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%0%25%50%50%50%
Draws50%25%38%50%25%38%
Loses0%75%38%0%25%13%

Form: Mahasarakham United: LWLDDDLW • Chainat: DWWDLWWD

League goals

Metric Mahasarakham United Chainat
HATHAT
GF total64107815
GF avg1.51.01.31.82.01.9
GA total37103710
GA avg0.81.81.30.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMahasarakham UnitedChainat
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%75%
1.550%50%50%38%
2.50%0%25%13%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMahasarakham UnitedChainat
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricMahasarakham UnitedChainat
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMahasarakham UnitedChainat
Wins12
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-03-4
Biggest losses2-12-1
Goals For2234
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricMahasarakham UnitedChainat
Form43%57%
Att38%63%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total55.2%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Mahasarakham United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.41 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mahasarakham United = 1.61 (league 1.67), Chainat = 1.40 (league 1.14)

Chainat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mahasarakham United 0 4.9% 6.9% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.9% 11.1% 7.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 33.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1