Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 • Boonyachinda Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.69) 0.84 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.8% 19.3% 13.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nong Bua Pitchaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police Tero 0 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.9% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolice TeroNong Bua Pitchaya
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack67%44%
Defense61%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Police Tero Nong Bua Pitchaya
HATHAT
Played47117411
Wins75%57%64%43%25%36%
Draws0%0%0%43%0%27%
Loses25%43%36%14%75%36%

Form: Police Tero: WLWLWLLWWWW • Nong Bua Pitchaya: LDWLWLWWDDL

League goals

Metric Police Tero Nong Bua Pitchaya
HATHAT
GF total791613417
GF avg1.81.31.51.91.01.5
GA total48129817
GA avg1.01.11.11.32.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolice TeroNong Bua Pitchaya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%73%91%
1.545%27%64%45%
2.518%9%18%18%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolice TeroNong Bua Pitchaya
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricPolice TeroNong Bua Pitchaya
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPolice TeroNong Bua Pitchaya
Wins12
Draws02
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-00-13-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPolice TeroNong Bua Pitchaya
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Police Tero or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.88 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Police Tero = 2.13 (league 1.69), Nong Bua Pitchaya = 0.84 (league 1.19)

Nong Bua Pitchaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police Tero 0 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.9% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1