Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 12:00 • Pitchaya Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.64) 1.23 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.1% 20.0% 20.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nakhon Pathom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nong Bua Pitchaya 0 3.2% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.1% 8.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNong Bua PitchayaNakhon Pathom
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack60%20%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nong Bua Pitchaya Nakhon Pathom
HATHAT
Played86147714
Wins50%17%36%14%29%21%
Draws38%0%21%43%14%29%
Loses13%83%43%43%57%50%

Form: Nong Bua Pitchaya: LDWLWLWWDDLLWL • Nakhon Pathom: LLLDWWDLDLWLLD

League goals

Metric Nong Bua Pitchaya Nakhon Pathom
HATHAT
GF total156212911
GF avg1.91.01.50.31.30.8
GA total9172641317
GA avg1.12.81.90.61.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNong Bua PitchayaNakhon Pathom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%57%71%
1.564%50%14%29%
2.514%29%7%14%
3.50%14%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNong Bua PitchayaNakhon Pathom
HATHAT
Clean sheets202314
Failed to score134516

Penalties

MetricNong Bua PitchayaNakhon Pathom
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNong Bua PitchayaNakhon Pathom
Wins22
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-21-01-3
Biggest losses0-14-00-13-0
Goals For3213
Goals Against2514

Model comparison

MetricNong Bua PitchayaNakhon Pathom
Form50%50%
Att75%25%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h64%36%
Goals56%44%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.28 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nong Bua Pitchaya = 2.21 (league 1.64), Nakhon Pathom = 1.23 (league 1.17)

Nakhon Pathom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nong Bua Pitchaya 0 3.2% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.1% 8.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 20.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1