Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion FK Bashkimi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.42) 5.41 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.1% 4.6% 46.6%
best score tips
1 - 5
6.0%
1 - 4
5.5%
0 - 5
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vardar Skopje
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bashkimi Kumanovo 0 0.1% 0.6% 1.7% 3.0% 4.0% 4.4%
1 0.2% 0.8% 2.3% 4.1% 5.5% 6.0%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.8% 3.8% 4.1%
3 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 1.9%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBashkimi KumanovoVardar Skopje
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack42%74%
Defense47%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bashkimi Kumanovo Vardar Skopje
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%67%57%75%100%86%
Draws25%0%14%25%0%14%
Loses25%33%29%0%0%0%

Form: Bashkimi Kumanovo: DWWLLWW • Vardar Skopje: WWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Bashkimi Kumanovo Vardar Skopje
HATHAT
GF total6511101020
GF avg1.51.71.62.53.32.9
GA total8311448
GA avg2.01.01.61.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBashkimi KumanovoVardar Skopje
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%100%86%
1.557%29%86%29%
2.514%14%57%0%
3.50%14%43%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBashkimi KumanovoVardar Skopje
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricBashkimi KumanovoVardar Skopje
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBashkimi KumanovoVardar Skopje
Wins22
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-11-4
Biggest losses0-52-1
Goals For3244
Goals Against5222

Model comparison

MetricBashkimi KumanovoVardar Skopje
Form41%59%
Att36%64%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total33.3%67.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Vardar Skopje and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away1.98 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 1xBet
No1.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bashkimi Kumanovo = 1.38 (league 1.42), Vardar Skopje = 5.41 (league 1.22)

Vardar Skopje
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bashkimi Kumanovo 0 0.1% 0.6% 1.7% 3.0% 4.0% 4.4%
1 0.2% 0.8% 2.3% 4.1% 5.5% 6.0%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.8% 3.8% 4.1%
3 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 1.9%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.1% · Draw 4.6% · Away win 46.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1