Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 12:00 •
Toše Proeski Arena
Expected Goals
3.71 (league 1.49)
1.54 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.9%
4 - 1
6.4%
2 - 1
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Aresimi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vardar Skopje | 0 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vardar Skopje | Aresimi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 94% | 75% |
| Defense | 75% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vardar Skopje | Aresimi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 75% | 88% | 81% | 43% | 38% | 40% |
| Draws | 25% | 13% | 19% | 14% | 25% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 38% | 40% |
Form: Vardar Skopje: WWDWWWWDDWWWWWWW • Aresimi: DLDLWLLWLWDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Vardar Skopje | Aresimi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 17 | 40 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vardar Skopje | Aresimi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 75% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | 47% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 0% | 40% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 27% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vardar Skopje | Aresimi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vardar Skopje | Aresimi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vardar Skopje | Aresimi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vardar Skopje | Aresimi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Vardar Skopje and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vardar Skopje = 3.71 (league 1.49), Aresimi = 1.54 (league 1.29)
| Aresimi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vardar Skopje | 0 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 11.0%
vtt 2 , vtd1