Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 13:00 • Stadion Cegrane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.12 (league 1.47) 2.46 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.1% 16.5% 27.2%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.8%
2 - 2
5.6%
3 - 3
4.7%
Score & goals probability table
Akademija Pandev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aresimi 0 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.2% 2.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4%
3 1.9% 4.7% 5.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
4 1.5% 3.7% 4.5% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1%
5 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAresimiAkademija Pandev
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack50%20%
Defense35%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aresimi Akademija Pandev
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%33%35%22%38%29%
Draws25%22%24%33%25%29%
Loses38%44%41%44%38%41%

Form: Aresimi: DLDLWLLWLWDWLWWDL • Akademija Pandev: LLDDWLWWDWLDLLLWD

League goals

Metric Aresimi Akademija Pandev
HATHAT
GF total181533111324
GF avg2.31.71.91.21.61.4
GA total162036171633
GA avg2.02.22.11.92.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAresimiAkademija Pandev
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%65%88%
1.547%65%41%59%
2.541%35%24%29%
3.524%24%12%12%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAresimiAkademija Pandev
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score123246

Penalties

MetricAresimiAkademija Pandev
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAresimiAkademija Pandev
Wins22
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-42-12-4
Biggest losses1-45-10-45-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against4545

Model comparison

MetricAresimiAkademija Pandev
Form64%36%
Att71%29%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total57.2%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Aresimi or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.84 @ Marathonbet
Away4.33 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.19 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aresimi = 3.12 (league 1.47), Akademija Pandev = 2.46 (league 1.30)

Akademija Pandev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aresimi 0 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.2% 2.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4%
3 1.9% 4.7% 5.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
4 1.5% 3.7% 4.5% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1%
5 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.1% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 27.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1