First League — Russia
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 11:00 • Ekaterinburg Arena
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.26) 1.24 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.3% 29.8% 48.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 14.2% 17.6% 10.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.1% 12.5% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUralFakel
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack85%46%
Defense69%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ural Fakel
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%67%83%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%17%0%0%0%

Form: Ural: WWWWLW • Fakel: WWWWWW

League goals

Metric Ural Fakel
HATHAT
GF total9312347
GF avg3.01.02.01.01.31.2
GA total314011
GA avg1.00.30.70.00.30.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUralFakel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%100%17%
1.567%17%17%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUralFakel
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricUralFakel
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUralFakel
Wins46
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-21-01-2
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For4212
Goals Against2101

Model comparison

MetricUralFakel
Form44%56%
Att65%35%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h67%33%
Goals100%0%
Total47.4%52.6%

Advice: Double chance : Ural or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ 188Bet
Away4.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ural = 0.71 (league 1.26), Fakel = 1.24 (league 1.05)

Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 14.2% 17.6% 10.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.1% 12.5% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.3% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 48.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1