First League — Russia
Wed, Sep 3 2025 • 12:00 • Central'nyj Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.22) 1.70 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.3% 22.1% 68.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.6%
0 - 2
17.5%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Enisey 0 12.1% 20.6% 17.5% 10.0% 4.2% 1.4%
1 5.0% 8.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEniseyShinnik Yaroslavl
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack42%33%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Enisey Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%33%29%25%33%29%
Draws0%67%29%25%33%29%
Loses75%0%43%50%33%43%

Form: Enisey: LLDLDWW • Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDW

League goals

Metric Enisey Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
GF total246235
GF avg0.51.30.90.51.00.7
GA total729437
GA avg1.80.71.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEniseyShinnik Yaroslavl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%57%86%
1.529%57%14%14%
2.50%14%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEniseyShinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricEniseyShinnik Yaroslavl
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEniseyShinnik Yaroslavl
Wins01
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-01-2
Biggest losses0-3—0-21-0
Goals For1212
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricEniseyShinnik Yaroslavl
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Shinnik Yaroslavl and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.13 @ 1xBet
Away3.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Pinnacle
No1.66 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Enisey = 0.41 (league 1.22), Shinnik Yaroslavl = 1.70 (league 1.06)

Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Enisey 0 12.1% 20.6% 17.5% 10.0% 4.2% 1.4%
1 5.0% 8.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.3% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 68.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1