First League — Russia
Wed, Sep 3 2025 • 14:30 • Stadion Trud
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.23) 1.24 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 24.7% 29.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 5.9% 7.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.4% 11.7% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.3% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVolga UlyanovskChernomorets
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack50%25%
Defense13%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk Chernomorets
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins50%0%29%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%14%0%50%29%
Loses50%67%57%100%50%71%

Form: Volga Ulyanovsk: LLDLWLW • Chernomorets: DLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk Chernomorets
HATHAT
GF total516145
GF avg1.30.30.90.31.00.7
GA total56115611
GA avg1.32.01.61.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVolga UlyanovskChernomorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%57%100%
1.514%43%14%43%
2.50%14%0%14%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVolga UlyanovskChernomorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricVolga UlyanovskChernomorets
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVolga UlyanovskChernomorets
Wins10
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1———
Biggest losses1-24-00-23-2
Goals For2112
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricVolga UlyanovskChernomorets
Form88%13%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%100%
Goals43%57%
Total61.0%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Volga Ulyanovsk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Superbet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Volga Ulyanovsk = 1.59 (league 1.23), Chernomorets = 1.24 (league 1.05)

Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 5.9% 7.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.4% 11.7% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.3% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 29.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1