First League — Russia
Wed, Sep 3 2025 • 15:00 • Stadion Neftekhimik
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.22) 0.66 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 44.2% 36.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.3%
0 - 1
22.7%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 34.3% 22.7% 7.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.0% 9.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK NeftekhimikRodina Moskva
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack42%50%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Neftekhimik Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins0%33%14%25%0%14%
Draws75%33%57%50%67%57%
Loses25%33%29%25%33%29%

Form: FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLD • Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDW

League goals

Metric FK Neftekhimik Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
GF total235628
GF avg0.51.00.71.50.71.1
GA total426538
GA avg1.00.70.91.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK NeftekhimikRodina Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%86%71%
1.514%14%14%29%
2.50%14%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK NeftekhimikRodina Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricFK NeftekhimikRodina Moskva
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFK NeftekhimikRodina Moskva
Wins10
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-23-0—
Biggest losses1-31-01-32-1
Goals For1231
Goals Against3132

Model comparison

MetricFK NeftekhimikRodina Moskva
Form45%55%
Att45%55%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h40%60%
Goals35%65%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rodina Moskva and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.53 @ 1xBet
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away2.27 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FK Neftekhimik = 0.41 (league 1.22), Rodina Moskva = 0.66 (league 1.06)

Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 34.3% 22.7% 7.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.0% 9.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 44.2% · Away win 36.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1