First League — Russia
Wed, Sep 3 2025 • 16:00 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.26) 0.37 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.6% 28.0% 10.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.1%
0 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
FC UFA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 17.9% 6.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 9.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorpedo MoskvaFC UFA
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack8%50%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torpedo Moskva FC UFA
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%50%0%29%
Draws0%25%14%50%0%29%
Loses67%75%71%0%100%43%

Form: Torpedo Moskva: LDLLWLL • FC UFA: DLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Torpedo Moskva FC UFA
HATHAT
GF total303617
GF avg1.00.00.41.50.31.0
GA total4711156
GA avg1.31.81.60.31.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorpedo MoskvaFC UFA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%71%57%57%
1.514%43%14%14%
2.50%43%14%14%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorpedo MoskvaFC UFA
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricTorpedo MoskvaFC UFA
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTorpedo MoskvaFC UFA
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-0—
Biggest losses2-33-0—3-1
Goals For2041
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricTorpedo MoskvaFC UFA
Form30%70%
Att14%86%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Torpedo Moskva or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away8.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Pinnacle
No1.56 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torpedo Moskva = 1.35 (league 1.26), FC UFA = 0.37 (league 1.05)

FC UFA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 17.9% 6.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 9.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.6% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 10.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1