First League — Russia
Wed, Sep 3 2025 • 17:00 • Stadion Arsenal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.23) 1.24 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 28.3% 40.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ska-khabarovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 10.1% 12.5% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.7% 13.2% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal TulaSka-khabarovsk
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack75%33%
Defense50%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Tula Ska-khabarovsk
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%50%29%25%33%29%
Draws100%25%57%50%33%43%
Loses0%25%14%25%33%29%

Form: Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWL • Ska-khabarovsk: DWWDLLD

League goals

Metric Arsenal Tula Ska-khabarovsk
HATHAT
GF total4711437
GF avg1.31.81.61.01.01.0
GA total448437
GA avg1.31.01.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal TulaSka-khabarovsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%86%86%86%
1.543%29%14%14%
2.514%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal TulaSka-khabarovsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricArsenal TulaSka-khabarovsk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricArsenal TulaSka-khabarovsk
Wins12
Draws21
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-31-01-2
Biggest losses—2-11-21-0
Goals For2312
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricArsenal TulaSka-khabarovsk
Form62%38%
Att69%31%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals27%73%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal Tula or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ SBO
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away4.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal Tula = 1.06 (league 1.23), Ska-khabarovsk = 1.24 (league 1.05)

Ska-khabarovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 10.1% 12.5% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.7% 13.2% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 40.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1