First League — Russia
Thu, Sep 4 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Urozhaj
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.23) 0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.4% 38.0% 52.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.6%
0 - 1
28.8%
0 - 2
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 30.6% 28.8% 13.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak KostromaUral
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack44%56%
Defense78%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Kostroma Ural
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%100%71%100%67%86%
Draws33%0%14%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%14%0%33%14%

Form: Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWW • Ural: WWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Spartak Kostroma Ural
HATHAT
GF total381111314
GF avg1.02.01.62.81.02.0
GA total336314
GA avg1.00.80.90.80.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak KostromaUral
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%86%43%
1.557%0%71%14%
2.514%0%29%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak KostromaUral
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricSpartak KostromaUral
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSpartak KostromaUral
Wins14
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-1——1-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against1121

Model comparison

MetricSpartak KostromaUral
Form52%48%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ural and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.64 @ 1xBet
Draw3.13 @ Pinnacle
Away2.26 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ 188Bet
No1.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Kostroma = 0.24 (league 1.23), Ural = 0.94 (league 1.06)

Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 30.6% 28.8% 13.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 38.0% · Away win 52.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1