Thu, Sep 4 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Central'nyj
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.22) 0.28 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 33.2% 9.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.5%
0 - 0
24.8%
2 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelyabinsk 0 24.8% 7.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.5% 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelyabinskFakel
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack39%28%
Defense67%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelyabinsk Fakel
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins100%25%57%100%75%86%
Draws0%25%14%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%29%0%25%14%

Form: Chelyabinsk: WWLWLWD • Fakel: WWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Chelyabinsk Fakel
HATHAT
GF total5611347
GF avg1.71.51.61.01.01.0
GA total178033
GA avg0.31.81.10.00.80.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelyabinskFakel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%71%86%29%
1.529%43%14%14%
2.529%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelyabinskFakel
HATHAT
Clean sheets202325
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricChelyabinskFakel
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChelyabinskFakel
Wins26
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-31-01-2
Biggest losses2-12-0
Goals For3312
Goals Against1202

Model comparison

MetricChelyabinskFakel
Form37%63%
Att58%42%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.8%48.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fakel and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelyabinsk = 1.11 (league 1.22), Fakel = 0.28 (league 1.06)

Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelyabinsk 0 24.8% 7.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.5% 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 9.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1