Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 11:30 • Maes Tegid
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.62) 0.75 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.5% 38.6% 34.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.4%
0 - 1
19.1%
1 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 25.4% 19.1% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.7% 11.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBala TownPenybont
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack46%46%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bala Town Penybont
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%67%60%33%100%60%
Draws50%0%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%67%0%40%

Form: Bala Town: DWLWW • Penybont: WLWWL

League goals

Metric Bala Town Penybont
HATHAT
GF total246246
GF avg1.01.31.20.72.01.2
GA total134325
GA avg0.51.00.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBala TownPenybont
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%60%60%
1.520%20%40%40%
2.520%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBala TownPenybont
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricBala TownPenybont
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBala TownPenybont
Wins12
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-32-02-3
Biggest losses—2-00-2—
Goals For1323
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricBala TownPenybont
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.75 @ Betway
Away1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bala Town = 0.62 (league 1.62), Penybont = 0.75 (league 1.33)

Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 25.4% 19.1% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.7% 11.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.5% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 34.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1