Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 10:00 • Estádio Nacional
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.45) 2.86 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.4% 13.2% 71.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.9%
0 - 3
9.4%
1 - 2
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Estrela U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril U23 0 2.4% 6.9% 9.9% 9.4% 6.7% 3.9%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.5% 8.1% 5.8% 3.3%
2 0.9% 2.6% 3.7% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4%
3 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstoril U23Estrela U23
Played45
Form25%27%
Attack14%36%
Defense21%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.55 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estoril U23 Estrela U23
HATHAT
Played224325
Wins0%50%25%33%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses100%50%75%67%50%60%

Form: Estoril U23: LWLL • Estrela U23: LDWLL

League goals

Metric Estoril U23 Estrela U23
HATHAT
GF total022325
GF avg0.01.00.51.01.01.0
GA total7411459
GA avg3.52.02.81.32.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstoril U23Estrela U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%100%80%80%
1.525%75%20%40%
2.50%50%0%40%
3.50%25%0%20%
4.50%25%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstoril U23Estrela U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricEstoril U23Estrela U23
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEstoril U23Estrela U23
Wins11
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-22-0
Biggest losses0-53-01-34-1
Goals For0221
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricEstoril U23Estrela U23
Form43%57%
Att29%71%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h20%80%
Goals41%59%
Total35.6%64.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Estrela U23

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 10Bet
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away2.87 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estoril U23 = 0.86 (league 1.45), Estrela U23 = 2.86 (league 1.22)

Estrela U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril U23 0 2.4% 6.9% 9.9% 9.4% 6.7% 3.9%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.5% 8.1% 5.8% 3.3%
2 0.9% 2.6% 3.7% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4%
3 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.4% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 71.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1