Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio das Seixas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.45) 1.69 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.2% 23.5% 61.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 2
13.6%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 9.5% 16.1% 13.6% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1%
1 6.3% 10.6% 9.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.1% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrela U23Benfica U23
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack44%67%
Defense11%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela U23 Benfica U23
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins20%14%17%83%50%67%
Draws20%43%33%17%17%17%
Loses60%43%50%0%33%17%

Form: Estrela U23: LDWLLDLDLDLW • Benfica U23: LWWWWWWWLWDD

League goals

Metric Estrela U23 Benfica U23
HATHAT
GF total491313922
GF avg0.81.31.12.21.51.8
GA total715225712
GA avg1.42.11.80.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrela U23Benfica U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%92%75%
1.525%50%50%25%
2.58%33%25%0%
3.50%17%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrela U23Benfica U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricEstrela U23Benfica U23
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricEstrela U23Benfica U23
Wins17
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-12-4
Biggest losses1-34-0—2-1
Goals For2344
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricEstrela U23Benfica U23
Form38%62%
Att40%60%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h7%93%
Goals13%88%
Total26.7%73.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benfica U23

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.20 @ 188Bet
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away1.90 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela U23 = 0.66 (league 1.45), Benfica U23 = 1.69 (league 1.24)

Benfica U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 9.5% 16.1% 13.6% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1%
1 6.3% 10.6% 9.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.1% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.2% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 61.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1