Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 16:00 • CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.44) 0.45 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.8% 30.6% 13.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Estoril U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP U23 0 18.8% 8.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 10.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CP U23Estoril U23
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack67%50%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP U23 Estoril U23
HATHAT
Played75127512
Wins29%60%42%0%20%8%
Draws29%0%17%43%20%33%
Loses43%40%42%57%60%58%

Form: Sporting CP U23: WWLLWWLLLDDW • Estoril U23: LWLLDDLDLLDL

League goals

Metric Sporting CP U23 Estoril U23
HATHAT
GF total812206410
GF avg1.12.41.70.90.80.8
GA total551016824
GA avg0.71.00.82.31.62.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CP U23Estoril U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%58%92%
1.550%8%17%58%
2.533%8%8%33%
3.58%0%0%8%
4.58%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CP U23Estoril U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score314325

Penalties

MetricSporting CP U23Estoril U23
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSporting CP U23Estoril U23
Wins21
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-5—1-2
Biggest losses0-13-20-53-0
Goals For3532
Goals Against1353

Model comparison

MetricSporting CP U23Estoril U23
Form71%29%
Att57%43%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h75%25%
Goals75%25%
Total69.5%30.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting CP U23 or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP U23 = 1.23 (league 1.44), Estoril U23 = 0.45 (league 1.26)

Estoril U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP U23 0 18.8% 8.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 10.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 13.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1