Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:00 • Estádio das Seixas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.45) 1.21 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.5% 29.5% 43.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Estoril U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 12.5% 15.1% 9.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.1% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrela U23Estoril U23
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack27%33%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela U23 Estoril U23
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins17%13%14%0%17%7%
Draws17%38%29%50%17%36%
Loses67%50%57%50%67%57%

Form: Estrela U23: LDWLLDLDLDLWLL • Estoril U23: LWLLDDLDLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Estrela U23 Estoril U23
HATHAT
GF total410148614
GF avg0.71.31.01.01.01.0
GA total91726181129
GA avg1.52.11.92.31.82.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrela U23Estoril U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%64%93%
1.521%57%29%64%
2.57%29%7%36%
3.50%14%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrela U23Estoril U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score314325

Penalties

MetricEstrela U23Estoril U23
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricEstrela U23Estoril U23
Wins11
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-2—1-2
Biggest losses1-34-00-53-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3453

Model comparison

MetricEstrela U23Estoril U23
Form67%33%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h93%7%
Goals62%38%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Estrela U23 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela U23 = 0.87 (league 1.45), Estoril U23 = 1.21 (league 1.24)

Estoril U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 12.5% 15.1% 9.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.1% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 43.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1