Wed, Nov 19 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio Do Algarve
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.44) 1.67 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.8% 24.1% 47.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Estrela U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense U23 0 5.5% 9.2% 7.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.8% 11.3% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.1% 6.9% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.7% 2.8% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFarense U23Estrela U23
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack60%60%
Defense60%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Farense U23 Estrela U23
HATHAT
Played64105510
Wins33%50%40%20%0%10%
Draws0%0%0%20%60%40%
Loses67%50%60%60%40%50%

Form: Farense U23: LWLLLLLWWW • Estrela U23: LDWLLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Farense U23 Estrela U23
HATHAT
GF total55104711
GF avg0.81.31.00.81.41.1
GA total951471118
GA avg1.51.31.41.42.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFarense U23Estrela U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%80%90%
1.530%50%20%50%
2.50%20%10%30%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFarense U23Estrela U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score213202

Penalties

MetricFarense U23Estrela U23
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFarense U23Estrela U23
Wins11
Draws01
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-0—
Biggest losses1-33-01-34-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricFarense U23Estrela U23
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Farense U23 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away3.45 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Farense U23 = 1.22 (league 1.44), Estrela U23 = 1.67 (league 1.26)

Estrela U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense U23 0 5.5% 9.2% 7.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.8% 11.3% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.1% 6.9% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.7% 2.8% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.8% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 47.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1