Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 13:00 • Complexo Desportivo Laranjeiras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.46) 1.14 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.3% 30.2% 41.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara U23 0 13.1% 14.9% 8.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.2% 5.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta Clara U23Benfica U23
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack55%73%
Defense64%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Clara U23 Benfica U23
HATHAT
Played78157714
Wins57%63%60%86%57%71%
Draws14%0%7%14%14%14%
Loses29%38%33%0%29%14%

Form: Santa Clara U23: WWWLWWDLWLLWWWL • Benfica U23: LWWWWWWWLWDDWW

League goals

Metric Santa Clara U23 Benfica U23
HATHAT
GF total91019151126
GF avg1.31.31.32.11.61.9
GA total68146713
GA avg0.91.00.90.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta Clara U23Benfica U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%93%71%
1.540%27%57%21%
2.57%7%21%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta Clara U23Benfica U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricSanta Clara U23Benfica U23
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSanta Clara U23Benfica U23
Wins37
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-12-4
Biggest losses0-23-1—2-1
Goals For2344
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricSanta Clara U23Benfica U23
Form45%55%
Att43%57%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h29%71%
Goals28%72%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benfica U23

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away2.32 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Santa Clara U23 = 0.89 (league 1.46), Benfica U23 = 1.14 (league 1.26)

Benfica U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara U23 0 13.1% 14.9% 8.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.2% 5.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.3% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 41.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1