Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:00 • CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.46) 0.62 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.5% 45.4% 34.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.7%
0 - 1
22.0%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
União Leiria U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP U23 0 35.7% 22.0% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 9.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CP U23União Leiria U23
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack62%62%
Defense77%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP U23 União Leiria U23
HATHAT
Played549448
Wins40%50%44%25%75%50%
Draws0%0%0%25%25%25%
Loses60%50%56%50%0%25%

Form: Sporting CP U23: WWLLWWLLL • União Leiria U23: DWLWWWDL

League goals

Metric Sporting CP U23 União Leiria U23
HATHAT
GF total610167512
GF avg1.22.51.81.81.31.5
GA total3588210
GA avg0.61.30.92.00.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CP U23União Leiria U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%67%100%63%
1.556%11%38%25%
2.544%11%13%25%
3.511%0%0%13%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CP U23União Leiria U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score314000

Penalties

MetricSporting CP U23União Leiria U23
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricSporting CP U23União Leiria U23
Wins23
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-53-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-22-4
Goals For3532
Goals Against1341

Model comparison

MetricSporting CP U23União Leiria U23
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.8%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting CP U23 or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.18 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP U23 = 0.41 (league 1.46), União Leiria U23 = 0.62 (league 1.26)

União Leiria U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP U23 0 35.7% 22.0% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 9.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 45.4% · Away win 34.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1