Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.44)
1.75 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.4% | 23.5% | 52.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Farense U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| União Leiria U23 | 0 | 5.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Farense U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 67% |
| Attack | 27% | 53% |
| Defense | 33% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Farense U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 17% | 38% | 29% | 38% | 50% | 43% |
| Draws | 17% | 50% | 36% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 67% | 13% | 36% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: União Leiria U23: DWLWWWDLDLDLLD • Farense U23: LWLLLLLWWWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Farense U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | União Leiria U23 | Farense U23 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 79% | 71% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 36% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 21% | 7% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Farense U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Farense U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Farense U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Farense U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 30.0% | 70.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Farense U23
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): União Leiria U23 = 1.09 (league 1.44), Farense U23 = 1.75 (league 1.26)
| Farense U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| União Leiria U23 | 0 | 5.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 52.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1