Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 17:30 •
Stade Gaston Petit
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.35)
0.05 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.6% | 90.7% | 4.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Ajaccio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chateauroux | 0 | 90.5% | 4.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chateauroux | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 0 |
| Form | 53% | 0% |
| Attack | 62% | 0% |
| Defense | 46% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
36%
FT probability
2.5+
25%
FT probability
3.5+
18%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chateauroux | Ajaccio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 20% | 25% | 22% | — | — | — |
| Draws | 60% | 50% | 56% | — | — | — |
| Loses | 20% | 25% | 22% | — | — | — |
Form: Chateauroux: DDDLWDDWL • Ajaccio:
League goals
| Metric | Chateauroux | Ajaccio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chateauroux | Ajaccio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 89% | — | — |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | — | — |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | — | — |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | — | — |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | — | — |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chateauroux | Ajaccio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chateauroux | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chateauroux | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chateauroux | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ajaccio and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chateauroux = 0.05 (league 1.35), Ajaccio = 0.05 (league 1.07)
| Ajaccio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chateauroux | 0 | 90.5% | 4.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 90.7% · Away win 4.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1