National 1 — France
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 18:30 • Stade Michel d'Ornano
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.31) 0.05 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Ajaccio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaenAjaccio
Played50
Form47%0%
Attack36%0%
Defense73%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.80 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.60 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

22%
FT probability

2.5+

16%
FT probability

3.5+

11%
FT probability

BTTS

30%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caen Ajaccio
HATHAT
Played8715000
Wins38%14%27%———
Draws50%57%53%———
Loses13%29%20%———

Form: Caen: WDLWDDDLWLDDDWD • Ajaccio:

League goals

Metric Caen Ajaccio
HATHAT
GF total7815000
GF avg0.91.11.00.00.00.0
GA total3912000
GA avg0.41.30.80.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaenAjaccio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%60%——
1.520%20%——
2.57%0%——
3.50%0%——
4.50%0%——

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaenAjaccio
HATHAT
Clean sheets606000
Failed to score404000

Penalties

MetricCaenAjaccio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCaenAjaccio
Wins10
Draws30
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2——
Biggest losses0-22-1——
Goals For3200
Goals Against2200

Model comparison

MetricCaenAjaccio
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h40%60%
Goals55%45%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ajaccio and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caen = 0.05 (league 1.31), Ajaccio = 0.05 (league 1.10)

Ajaccio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caen 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 90.7% · Away win 4.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1