Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:00 • Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.13) 0.25 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.4% 23.5% 5.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.6%
2 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Durban City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 16.5% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 4.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMamelodi SundownsDurban City
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack58%33%
Defense92%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns Durban City
HATHAT
Played257336
Wins100%40%57%67%33%50%
Draws0%60%43%33%33%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%33%17%

Form: Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWD • Durban City: WWDDLW

League goals

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns Durban City
HATHAT
GF total5510426
GF avg2.51.01.41.30.71.0
GA total022123
GA avg0.00.40.30.30.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMamelodi SundownsDurban City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%29%67%33%
1.543%0%33%17%
2.514%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMamelodi SundownsDurban City
HATHAT
Clean sheets235224
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricMamelodi SundownsDurban City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMamelodi SundownsDurban City
Wins22
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against0112

Model comparison

MetricMamelodi SundownsDurban City
Form58%42%
Att64%36%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mamelodi Sundowns or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ 10Bet
Draw5.80 @ Unibet
Away17.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.80 @ Unibet
No1.42 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mamelodi Sundowns = 1.55 (league 1.13), Durban City = 0.25 (league 0.85)

Durban City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 16.5% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 4.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.4% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 5.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1