Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 • King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.16) 0.83 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.5% 40.5% 44.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.0%
0 - 1
25.6%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Golden Arrows 0 31.0% 25.6% 10.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.7% 8.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGolden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack36%73%
Defense45%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Golden Arrows Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Played347358
Wins67%0%29%100%40%63%
Draws0%25%14%0%60%38%
Loses33%75%57%0%0%0%

Form: Golden Arrows: LWDWLLL • Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDW

League goals

Metric Golden Arrows Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
GF total3368513
GF avg1.00.80.92.71.01.6
GA total279123
GA avg0.71.81.30.30.40.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGolden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%88%38%
1.514%29%50%0%
2.50%14%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGolden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Clean sheets101235
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricGolden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGolden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
Wins12
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-1——
Goals For2132
Goals Against1311

Model comparison

MetricGolden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h15%85%
Goals7%93%
Total23.3%76.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mamelodi Sundowns and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home13.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.96 @ Pinnacle
Away1.32 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.15 @ 188Bet
No1.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Golden Arrows = 0.34 (league 1.16), Mamelodi Sundowns = 0.83 (league 0.85)

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Golden Arrows 0 31.0% 25.6% 10.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.7% 8.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.5% · Draw 40.5% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1