Liga 3 — Portugal
Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 19:00 • Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.25) 0.74 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.0% 37.2% 31.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.1%
0 - 1
17.0%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 23.1% 17.0% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.4% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFafeAmarante
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack50%50%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fafe Amarante
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%0%33%17%
Draws33%67%50%67%0%33%
Loses33%33%33%33%67%50%

Form: Fafe: LDDLDW • Amarante: LWDLDL

League goals

Metric Fafe Amarante
HATHAT
GF total235235
GF avg0.71.00.80.71.00.8
GA total279347
GA avg0.72.31.51.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFafeAmarante
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%33%83%
1.517%33%33%33%
2.50%17%17%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFafeAmarante
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score202224

Penalties

MetricFafeAmarante
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFafeAmarante
Wins01
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0——2-3
Biggest losses0-25-10-11-0
Goals For2123
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricFafeAmarante
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Fafe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fafe = 0.73 (league 1.25), Amarante = 0.74 (league 0.95)

Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 23.1% 17.0% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.4% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.0% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 31.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1