Liga 3 — Portugal
Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 18:30 • Estádio Municipal das Laranjeiras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.23) 0.50 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.2% 51.2% 30.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
43.8%
0 - 1
21.9%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paredes 0 43.8% 21.9% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 7.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParedesGuimaraes B
Played44
Form25%42%
Attack23%31%
Defense69%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 13 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

40%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

41%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paredes Guimaraes B
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%0%50%25%
Draws100%50%75%50%50%50%
Loses0%50%25%50%0%25%

Form: Paredes: LDDD • Guimaraes B: DLWD

League goals

Metric Paredes Guimaraes B
HATHAT
GF total123224
GF avg0.51.00.81.01.01.0
GA total134303
GA avg0.51.51.01.50.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParedesGuimaraes B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%50%25%
1.525%25%50%25%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParedesGuimaraes B
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricParedesGuimaraes B
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricParedesGuimaraes B
Wins01
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———0-2
Biggest losses—1-02-3—
Goals For1222
Goals Against1230

Model comparison

MetricParedesGuimaraes B
Form38%63%
Att43%57%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total39.2%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Guimaraes B and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 188Bet
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away4.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paredes = 0.33 (league 1.23), Guimaraes B = 0.50 (league 1.00)

Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paredes 0 43.8% 21.9% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 7.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 51.2% · Away win 30.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1