Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 10:00 • Municipal de Marco de Canaveses
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.25) 0.05 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.7% 65.0% 3.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
63.8%
1 - 0
25.5%
2 - 0
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
SC Braga B
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Marco 09 0 63.8% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Marco 09SC Braga B
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack9%36%
Defense100%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

24%
FT probability

2.5+

17%
FT probability

3.5+

12%
FT probability

BTTS

25%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Marco 09 SC Braga B
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%67%0%40%
Draws50%100%80%33%50%40%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%20%

Form: AD Marco 09: DDDWD • SC Braga B: WLWDD

League goals

Metric AD Marco 09 SC Braga B
HATHAT
GF total101404
GF avg0.50.00.21.30.00.8
GA total000224
GA avg0.00.00.00.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Marco 09SC Braga B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.520%0%60%40%
1.50%0%20%40%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Marco 09SC Braga B
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricAD Marco 09SC Braga B
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAD Marco 09SC Braga B
Wins11
Draws30
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-0—
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For1020
Goals Against0022

Model comparison

MetricAD Marco 09SC Braga B
Form47%53%
Att20%80%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total33.5%66.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AD Marco 09 or draw and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away4.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Marco 09 = 0.40 (league 1.25), SC Braga B = 0.05 (league 0.95)

SC Braga B
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Marco 09 0 63.8% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 65.0% · Away win 3.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1