Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • Estádio Conde Dias Garcia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.28) 1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 29.1% 31.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
13.1%
0 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Paredes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanjoanense 0 11.1% 11.4% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanjoanenseParedes
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack46%31%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sanjoanense Paredes
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%0%0%0%
Draws100%67%80%100%50%80%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%20%

Form: Sanjoanense: WDDDD • Paredes: LDDDD

League goals

Metric Sanjoanense Paredes
HATHAT
GF total246224
GF avg1.01.31.20.71.00.8
GA total224235
GA avg1.00.70.80.71.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanjoanenseParedes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%60%80%
1.560%40%20%20%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanjoanenseParedes
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricSanjoanenseParedes
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanjoanenseParedes
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-2
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For2212
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricSanjoanenseParedes
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sanjoanense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.38 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sanjoanense = 1.17 (league 1.28), Paredes = 1.02 (league 0.98)

Paredes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanjoanense 0 11.1% 11.4% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 31.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1