Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • Campo Nº5 Complexo Desportivo Dr. António Pimenta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.25) 2.69 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.0% 9.4% 83.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
19.3%
0 - 3
17.3%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Trofense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes B 0 5.3% 14.4% 19.3% 17.3% 11.6% 6.3%
1 1.3% 3.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.8% 1.5%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuimaraes BTrofense
Played54
Form40%67%
Attack38%54%
Defense69%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

34%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guimaraes B Trofense
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins0%33%20%100%0%50%
Draws50%67%60%0%100%50%
Loses50%0%20%0%0%0%

Form: Guimaraes B: DLWDD • Trofense: DWDW

League goals

Metric Guimaraes B Trofense
HATHAT
GF total235707
GF avg1.01.01.03.50.01.8
GA total314101
GA avg1.50.30.80.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuimaraes BTrofense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%50%25%
1.540%20%50%0%
2.50%20%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuimaraes BTrofense
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricGuimaraes BTrofense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGuimaraes BTrofense
Wins11
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-25-1—
Biggest losses2-3———
Goals For2250
Goals Against3110

Model comparison

MetricGuimaraes BTrofense
Form43%57%
Att42%58%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Trofense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes B = 0.24 (league 1.25), Trofense = 2.69 (league 1.00)

Trofense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes B 0 5.3% 14.4% 19.3% 17.3% 11.6% 6.3%
1 1.3% 3.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.8% 1.5%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.0% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 83.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1