Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • Amarante Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.28) 0.51 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.1% 20.4% 9.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
16.2%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
São João Ver
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 9.2% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.3% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 8.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.1% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmaranteSão João Ver
Played45
Form33%20%
Attack23%15%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amarante São João Ver
HATHAT
Played224325
Wins0%50%25%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%25%67%50%60%
Loses50%50%50%33%50%40%

Form: Amarante: LWDL • São João Ver: DLLDD

League goals

Metric Amarante São João Ver
HATHAT
GF total033022
GF avg0.01.50.80.01.00.4
GA total134268
GA avg0.51.51.00.73.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmaranteSão João Ver
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%75%20%60%
1.525%25%20%60%
2.525%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmaranteSão João Ver
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score213314

Penalties

MetricAmaranteSão João Ver
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAmaranteSão João Ver
Wins10
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-3
Biggest losses0-11-00-24-0
Goals For0302
Goals Against1224

Model comparison

MetricAmaranteSão João Ver
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total66.8%33.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Amarante or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away3.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Unibet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Amarante = 1.87 (league 1.28), São João Ver = 0.51 (league 0.98)

São João Ver
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 9.2% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.3% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 8.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.1% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.1% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1