Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:30 • Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.28) 0.66 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.7% 20.8% 12.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sanjoanense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trofense 0 7.6% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.5% 9.7% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 5.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrofenseSanjoanense
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack100%75%
Defense75%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trofense Sanjoanense
HATHAT
Played235336
Wins100%33%60%0%33%17%
Draws0%67%40%100%67%83%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Trofense: DWDWW • Sanjoanense: WDDDDD

League goals

Metric Trofense Sanjoanense
HATHAT
GF total729448
GF avg3.50.71.81.31.31.3
GA total112426
GA avg0.50.30.41.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrofenseSanjoanense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%67%50%
1.560%0%67%50%
2.520%0%0%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrofenseSanjoanense
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricTrofenseSanjoanense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTrofenseSanjoanense
Wins11
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-20-2
Biggest losses
Goals For5222
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricTrofenseSanjoanense
Form69%31%
Att60%40%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Trofense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trofense = 1.91 (league 1.28), Sanjoanense = 0.66 (league 0.98)

Sanjoanense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trofense 0 7.6% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.5% 9.7% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 5.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.7% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 12.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1