Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 • Amarante Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.23) 1.30 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.7% 28.1% 44.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Paredes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 10.4% 13.5% 8.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.0% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmaranteParedes
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack18%64%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amarante Paredes
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%25%14%25%0%14%
Draws67%0%29%75%67%71%
Loses33%75%57%0%33%14%

Form: Amarante: LWDLDLL • Paredes: LDDDDDW

League goals

Metric Amarante Paredes
HATHAT
GF total235448
GF avg0.70.80.71.01.31.1
GA total3710257
GA avg1.01.81.40.51.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmaranteParedes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%86%71%71%
1.529%43%43%29%
2.514%14%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmaranteParedes
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricAmaranteParedes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAmaranteParedes
Wins10
Draws15
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-32-0—
Biggest losses0-13-0—1-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricAmaranteParedes
Form22%78%
Att22%78%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paredes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.06 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Amarante = 0.97 (league 1.23), Paredes = 1.30 (league 1.00)

Paredes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 10.4% 13.5% 8.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.0% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.7% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 44.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1