Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 17:30 • Municipal de Marco de Canaveses
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.25) 0.52 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.5% 52.9% 33.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
46.9%
0 - 1
24.3%
1 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Trofense
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Marco 09 0 46.9% 24.3% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.3% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Marco 09Trofense
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack23%77%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

41%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Marco 09 Trofense
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%75%33%57%
Draws67%75%71%0%67%29%
Loses0%25%14%25%0%14%

Form: AD Marco 09: DDDWDDL • Trofense: DWDWWLW

League goals

Metric AD Marco 09 Trofense
HATHAT
GF total30310212
GF avg1.00.00.42.50.71.7
GA total224415
GA avg0.70.50.61.00.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Marco 09Trofense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%29%71%57%
1.514%29%57%14%
2.50%0%14%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Marco 09Trofense
HATHAT
Clean sheets235123
Failed to score145022

Penalties

MetricAD Marco 09Trofense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAD Marco 09Trofense
Wins12
Draws31
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—5-11-2
Biggest losses—2-01-2—
Goals For2052
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricAD Marco 09Trofense
Form38%63%
Att23%77%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.3%63.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Trofense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.12 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ Unibet
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Marco 09 = 0.24 (league 1.25), Trofense = 0.52 (league 0.95)

Trofense
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Marco 09 0 46.9% 24.3% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.3% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.5% · Draw 52.9% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1