Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 • Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.28) 0.51 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 46.2% 26.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.2%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
18.4%
Score & goals probability table
Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 36.2% 18.4% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.4% 9.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFafeGuimaraes B
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack54%38%
Defense54%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fafe Guimaraes B
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins50%0%29%0%25%14%
Draws25%67%43%33%75%57%
Loses25%33%29%67%0%29%

Form: Fafe: LDDLDWW • Guimaraes B: DLWDDLD

League goals

Metric Fafe Guimaraes B
HATHAT
GF total538347
GF avg1.31.01.11.01.01.0
GA total279527
GA avg0.52.31.31.70.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFafeGuimaraes B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%71%57%
1.529%29%29%29%
2.514%14%0%14%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFafeGuimaraes B
HATHAT
Clean sheets303123
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricFafeGuimaraes B
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFafeGuimaraes B
Wins01
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0——0-2
Biggest losses0-25-12-3—
Goals For3122
Goals Against2531

Model comparison

MetricFafeGuimaraes B
Form57%43%
Att58%42%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fafe or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away5.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fafe = 0.51 (league 1.28), Guimaraes B = 0.51 (league 0.98)

Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 36.2% 18.4% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.4% 9.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 46.2% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1