Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense
Not Started
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Expected Goals
3.51 (league 1.28) 0.81 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.9% 8.8% 4.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.6%
4 - 0
8.4%
2 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trofense 0 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.4% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrofenseAmarante
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack85%23%
Defense54%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trofense Amarante
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%25%25%25%
Draws0%75%38%50%0%25%
Loses25%0%13%25%75%50%

Form: Trofense: DWDWWLWD • Amarante: LWDLDLLW

League goals

Metric Trofense Amarante
HATHAT
GF total10313336
GF avg2.50.81.60.80.80.8
GA total4263710
GA avg1.00.50.80.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrofenseAmarante
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%38%75%
1.550%13%25%38%
2.513%0%13%13%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrofenseAmarante
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricTrofenseAmarante
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTrofenseAmarante
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-21-02-3
Biggest losses1-2—0-13-0
Goals For5223
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricTrofenseAmarante
Form71%29%
Att79%21%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Winner : Trofense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Trofense = 3.51 (league 1.28), Amarante = 0.81 (league 0.98)

Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trofense 0 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.4% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.9% · Draw 8.8% · Away win 4.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1