Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio Conde Dias Garcia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.25) 1.52 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 16.3% 17.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Fafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanjoanense 0 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.1% 7.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.9% 7.4% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.5% 5.3% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.0% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanjoanenseFafe
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack100%78%
Defense0%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sanjoanense Fafe
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%40%22%60%0%33%
Draws100%40%67%20%50%33%
Loses0%20%11%20%50%33%

Form: Sanjoanense: WDDDDDWDL • Fafe: LDDLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Sanjoanense Fafe
HATHAT
GF total7613639
GF avg1.81.21.41.20.81.0
GA total74112810
GA avg1.80.81.20.42.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanjoanenseFafe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%56%
1.567%44%22%22%
2.511%11%11%11%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanjoanenseFafe
HATHAT
Clean sheets123404
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricSanjoanenseFafe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSanjoanenseFafe
Wins13
Draws52
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-23-0—
Biggest losses—1-00-25-1
Goals For3231
Goals Against3225

Model comparison

MetricSanjoanenseFafe
Form38%63%
Att56%44%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total52.7%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sanjoanense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Unibet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sanjoanense = 2.88 (league 1.25), Fafe = 1.52 (league 0.95)

Fafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanjoanense 0 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.1% 7.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.9% 7.4% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.5% 5.3% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.0% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 17.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1