Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 • Campo Nº5 Complexo Desportivo Dr. António Pimenta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.25) 0.27 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 47.4% 13.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
40.1%
1 - 0
25.6%
0 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
AD Marco 09
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes B 0 40.1% 11.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 7.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuimaraes BAD Marco 09
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack40%40%
Defense50%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guimaraes B AD Marco 09
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%20%22%25%0%11%
Draws25%60%44%75%60%67%
Loses50%20%33%0%40%22%

Form: Guimaraes B: DLWDDLDLW • AD Marco 09: DDDWDDLDL

League goals

Metric Guimaraes B AD Marco 09
HATHAT
GF total448415
GF avg1.00.80.91.00.20.6
GA total538347
GA avg1.30.60.90.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuimaraes BAD Marco 09
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%44%44%
1.522%22%11%33%
2.50%11%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuimaraes BAD Marco 09
HATHAT
Clean sheets224235
Failed to score123145

Penalties

MetricGuimaraes BAD Marco 09
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGuimaraes BAD Marco 09
Wins11
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-0—
Biggest losses2-31-0—2-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricGuimaraes BAD Marco 09
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total55.2%45.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Guimaraes B or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.70 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes B = 0.64 (league 1.25), AD Marco 09 = 0.27 (league 0.95)

AD Marco 09
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes B 0 40.1% 11.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 7.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 47.4% · Away win 13.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1