Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 20:00 • Estádio Varzim Sport Club
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.23) 0.80 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.8% 17.7% 11.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 4.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.5% 8.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.2% 4.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVarzimAmarante
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack89%44%
Defense11%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varzim Amarante
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins40%25%33%25%40%33%
Draws60%25%44%50%0%22%
Loses0%50%22%25%60%44%

Form: Varzim: WWLDDDLDW • Amarante: LWDLDLLWW

League goals

Metric Varzim Amarante
HATHAT
GF total10515347
GF avg2.01.31.70.80.80.8
GA total56113710
GA avg1.01.51.20.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVarzimAmarante
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%44%67%
1.544%33%22%33%
2.522%11%11%11%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVarzimAmarante
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricVarzimAmarante
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricVarzimAmarante
Wins21
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-11-02-3
Biggest losses—2-10-13-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricVarzimAmarante
Form46%54%
Att67%33%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Varzim or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away4.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Varzim = 2.28 (league 1.23), Amarante = 0.80 (league 1.00)

Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 4.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.5% 8.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.2% 4.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.8% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 11.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1