Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 11:00 • Municipal de Marco de Canaveses
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.24) 1.00 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 33.9% 42.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.3%
0 - 0
19.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sanjoanense
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Marco 09 0 19.3% 19.3% 9.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 12.5% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Marco 09Sanjoanense
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack44%89%
Defense11%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Marco 09 Sanjoanense
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins25%0%10%0%40%20%
Draws75%50%60%100%40%70%
Loses0%50%30%0%20%10%

Form: AD Marco 09: DDDWDDLDLL • Sanjoanense: WDDDDDWDLD

League goals

Metric AD Marco 09 Sanjoanense
HATHAT
GF total4158614
GF avg1.00.20.51.61.21.4
GA total3588412
GA avg0.80.80.81.60.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Marco 09Sanjoanense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%50%70%70%
1.510%30%60%40%
2.50%0%10%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Marco 09Sanjoanense
HATHAT
Clean sheets235123
Failed to score156123

Penalties

MetricAD Marco 09Sanjoanense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAD Marco 09Sanjoanense
Wins11
Draws35
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0——0-2
Biggest losses—2-0—1-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricAD Marco 09Sanjoanense
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sanjoanense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.15 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Marco 09 = 0.65 (league 1.24), Sanjoanense = 1.00 (league 0.96)

Sanjoanense
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Marco 09 0 19.3% 19.3% 9.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 12.5% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 42.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1