Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Amarante Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.25) 0.64 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 45.4% 35.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.0%
0 - 1
22.9%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 36.0% 22.9% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.8% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmaranteGuimaraes B
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack20%40%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amarante Guimaraes B
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins25%33%30%40%20%30%
Draws50%17%30%20%60%40%
Loses25%50%40%40%20%30%

Form: Amarante: LWDLDLLWWD • Guimaraes B: DLWDDLDLWW

League goals

Metric Amarante Guimaraes B
HATHAT
GF total347549
GF avg0.80.70.71.00.80.9
GA total3710538
GA avg0.81.21.01.00.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmaranteGuimaraes B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%70%50%
1.520%30%20%20%
2.510%10%0%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmaranteGuimaraes B
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricAmaranteGuimaraes B
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAmaranteGuimaraes B
Wins21
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-31-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-02-31-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricAmaranteGuimaraes B
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h88%13%
Goals70%30%
Total54.0%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Amarante or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.13 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Amarante = 0.38 (league 1.25), Guimaraes B = 0.64 (league 1.00)

Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 36.0% 22.9% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.8% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 45.4% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1