Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.23) 1.00 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 18.1% 14.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Paredes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trofense 0 3.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.3% 8.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrofenseParedes
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack36%36%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trofense Paredes
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins50%20%36%33%0%18%
Draws17%80%45%67%40%55%
Loses33%0%18%0%60%27%

Form: Trofense: DWDWWLWDLDD • Paredes: LDDDDDWLDWL

League goals

Metric Trofense Paredes
HATHAT
GF total114156511
GF avg1.80.81.41.01.01.0
GA total6392810
GA avg1.00.60.80.31.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrofenseParedes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%64%64%
1.536%9%36%27%
2.59%0%0%0%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrofenseParedes
HATHAT
Clean sheets123404
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricTrofenseParedes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTrofenseParedes
Wins21
Draws15
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-22-0—
Biggest losses1-2——2-1
Goals For5222
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricTrofenseParedes
Form46%54%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h62%38%
Goals43%57%
Total51.0%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : Trofense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Trofense = 2.34 (league 1.23), Paredes = 1.00 (league 1.00)

Paredes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trofense 0 3.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.3% 8.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 14.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1