Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio Varzim Sport Club
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.25) 0.32 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.9% 18.5% 5.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.6%
2 - 0
19.6%
3 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
SC Braga B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 10.8% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.6% 6.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.5% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVarzimSC Braga B
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack50%21%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varzim SC Braga B
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins33%20%27%67%0%36%
Draws67%40%55%33%40%36%
Loses0%40%18%0%60%27%

Form: Varzim: WWLDDDLDWDD • SC Braga B: WLWDDDWLWLD

League goals

Metric Varzim SC Braga B
HATHAT
GF total10616729
GF avg1.71.21.51.20.40.8
GA total57123710
GA avg0.81.41.10.51.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVarzimSC Braga B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%73%64%55%
1.536%27%18%36%
2.518%9%0%0%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVarzimSC Braga B
HATHAT
Clean sheets213415
Failed to score112044

Penalties

MetricVarzimSC Braga B
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricVarzimSC Braga B
Wins21
Draws33
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-11-0—
Biggest losses—2-1—2-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricVarzimSC Braga B
Form46%54%
Att70%30%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Varzim or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away3.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Varzim = 1.91 (league 1.25), SC Braga B = 0.32 (league 1.00)

SC Braga B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 10.8% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.6% 6.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.5% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.9% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 5.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1