Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 20:00 • Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.24) 0.42 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 45.0% 20.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.1%
1 - 0
22.1%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Trofense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 35.1% 14.7% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.1% 9.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFafeTrofense
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack63%38%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fafe Trofense
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins67%0%33%43%20%33%
Draws17%67%42%29%80%50%
Loses17%33%25%29%0%17%

Form: Fafe: LDDLDWWWLDWD • Trofense: DWDWWLWDLDDD

League goals

Metric Fafe Trofense
HATHAT
GF total851311415
GF avg1.30.81.11.60.81.3
GA total31013639
GA avg0.51.71.10.90.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFafeTrofense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%67%67%67%
1.525%17%33%8%
2.58%8%8%0%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFafeTrofense
HATHAT
Clean sheets404224
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricFafeTrofense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFafeTrofense
Wins32
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—5-11-2
Biggest losses0-25-11-2—
Goals For3152
Goals Against2521

Model comparison

MetricFafeTrofense
Form67%33%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h40%60%
Goals43%57%
Total53.5%46.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fafe or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Unibet
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away4.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fafe = 0.63 (league 1.24), Trofense = 0.42 (league 0.96)

Trofense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 35.1% 14.7% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.1% 9.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 45.0% · Away win 20.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod3