Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:00 • Amarante Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.24) 0.21 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 53.7% 11.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
48.4%
1 - 0
25.0%
0 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
AD Marco 09
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 48.4% 10.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 5.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmaranteAD Marco 09
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack50%50%
Defense80%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amarante AD Marco 09
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins20%43%33%33%0%17%
Draws40%14%25%67%50%58%
Loses40%43%42%0%50%25%

Form: Amarante: LWDLDLLWWDLW • AD Marco 09: DDDWDDLDLLWD

League goals

Metric Amarante AD Marco 09
HATHAT
GF total4610718
GF avg0.80.90.81.20.20.7
GA total57125510
GA avg1.01.01.00.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmaranteAD Marco 09
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%58%50%58%
1.525%33%17%25%
2.58%8%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmaranteAD Marco 09
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score246156

Penalties

MetricAmaranteAD Marco 09
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAmaranteAD Marco 09
Wins21
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-1—
Biggest losses1-23-0—2-0
Goals For2321
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricAmaranteAD Marco 09
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h67%33%
Goals67%33%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Amarante or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Amarante = 0.52 (league 1.24), AD Marco 09 = 0.21 (league 0.96)

AD Marco 09
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 48.4% 10.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 5.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 53.7% · Away win 11.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1