Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 • Amarante Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.25) 0.96 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.6% 24.7% 22.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Fafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 7.5% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.3% 11.7% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.6% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmaranteFafe
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack78%56%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amarante Fafe
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%43%38%57%0%31%
Draws33%14%23%14%67%38%
Loses33%43%38%29%33%31%

Form: Amarante: LWDLDLLWWDLWW • Fafe: LDDLDWWWLDWDL

League goals

Metric Amarante Fafe
HATHAT
GF total76139514
GF avg1.20.91.01.30.81.1
GA total771451015
GA avg1.21.01.10.71.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmaranteFafe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%62%77%69%
1.531%38%23%23%
2.515%8%8%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmaranteFafe
HATHAT
Clean sheets235404
Failed to score246213

Penalties

MetricAmaranteFafe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAmaranteFafe
Wins23
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-0—
Biggest losses1-23-00-25-1
Goals For3331
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricAmaranteFafe
Form67%33%
Att58%42%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h15%85%
Goals21%79%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : Amarante or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Betfair
Draw3.08 @ Pinnacle
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Amarante = 1.63 (league 1.25), Fafe = 0.96 (league 1.00)

Fafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 7.5% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.3% 11.7% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.6% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.6% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 22.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1