Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 • Campo Nº5 Complexo Desportivo Dr. António Pimenta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.24) 0.63 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.4% 29.7% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Paredes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes B 0 15.1% 9.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 12.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuimaraes BParedes
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack67%33%
Defense89%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guimaraes B Paredes
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%29%38%29%0%15%
Draws17%57%38%71%50%62%
Loses33%14%23%0%50%23%

Form: Guimaraes B: DLWDDLDLWWWWD • Paredes: LDDDDDWLDWLDD

League goals

Metric Guimaraes B Paredes
HATHAT
GF total76136511
GF avg1.20.91.00.90.80.8
GA total5492810
GA avg0.80.60.70.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuimaraes BParedes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%46%54%54%
1.531%15%31%23%
2.50%8%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuimaraes BParedes
HATHAT
Clean sheets437516
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricGuimaraes BParedes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricGuimaraes BParedes
Wins41
Draws25
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-0—
Biggest losses2-31-0—2-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against3112

Model comparison

MetricGuimaraes BParedes
Form68%32%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total68.8%31.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Guimaraes B or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes B = 1.26 (league 1.24), Paredes = 0.63 (league 1.02)

Paredes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes B 0 15.1% 9.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 12.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 18.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1