Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 17:30 • Municipal das Laranjeiras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.25) 0.32 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 41.7% 13.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.9%
1 - 0
26.1%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sanjoanense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paredes 0 32.9% 10.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 8.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParedesSanjoanense
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack40%20%
Defense80%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paredes Sanjoanense
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%0%29%14%
Draws71%43%57%71%29%50%
Loses0%43%21%29%43%36%

Form: Paredes: LDDDDDWLDWLDDW • Sanjoanense: WDDDDDWDLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Paredes Sanjoanense
HATHAT
GF total68148816
GF avg0.91.11.01.11.11.1
GA total291112820
GA avg0.31.30.81.71.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParedesSanjoanense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%64%79%
1.536%21%43%57%
2.57%0%7%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParedesSanjoanense
HATHAT
Clean sheets516123
Failed to score336325

Penalties

MetricParedesSanjoanense
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricParedesSanjoanense
Wins11
Draws55
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-3—0-2
Biggest losses—2-10-22-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricParedesSanjoanense
Form89%11%
Att67%33%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Paredes or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away5.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paredes = 0.79 (league 1.25), Sanjoanense = 0.32 (league 1.04)

Sanjoanense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paredes 0 32.9% 10.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 8.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 41.7% · Away win 13.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1